FanBoardHQ

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech University · 2022 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#119
Efficiency
-15.3
115th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 11
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Louisiana Tech went 3-9 and was ranked 119th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 104th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 111th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 94th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 130th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-2
Q4
3-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
120th
-6.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
86th
full season
86th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
107th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ MissouriSEC#60L 2452-23.80%-13.1Q2
2vs Stephen F. AustinWestern AthleticW 5217+10.1100%5.1Q4
3@ ClemsonACC#15L 2048-33.00%-11.6Q1
4@ South AlabamaSun Belt#53L 1438-17.50%-29.9Q3
6vs UTEPConference USA#107W 4131+0.5100%-2.0Q4
7@ North TexasConference USA#80L 2747-14.40%-18.2Q3
8vs RiceConference USA#109L 4142+1.90%-20.8Q4
9@ FIUConference USA#121L 3442+8.70%-25.1Q4
10vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#77W 4024-4.6100%4.3Q4
11@ UTSAConference USA#33L 751-21.90%-34.9Q2
12@ CharlotteConference USA#123L 2126+3.00%-23.9Q4
13vs UABConference USA#74L 2737-12.40%-14.0Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.7-14.9+1.9-135-12-30-2-18-21-254-35-24-14Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 94th
SR 86thYPP 69thEPA 106th
RushingEff 130th
SR 124thYPP 123rdEPA 131st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 82nd
SR 59thYPP 80thEPA 98th
Rush defenseEff 130th
SR 108thYPP 136thEPA 127th
Dropback rate 56%Tempo +0.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 78th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 92.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 84.0Q2 · Allowed: 115.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 54.0Q3 · Allowed: 107.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 90.0Q4 · Allowed: 117.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisiana TechOffenseDefense
Louisiana Tech Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 104th
-6.6
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -5.5
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -5.5= -6.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 108th · Finishing 100th

Defensive EffRanked 111th
-7.6
Field position: -4.2Finishing drives: -3.4
Field position -4.2Finishing drives -3.4= -7.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 131st · Finishing 95th

2.03 points per drive on offense, 2.69 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(233)61% / 39%46%6.8
Q2(230)60% / 40%37%5.9
Q3(169)52% / 48%36%6.1
Q4(193)49% / 51%38%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(184)10.243%7.7
2nd(147)8.736%5.7
3rd(107)8.536%7.0
4th(24)4.442%7.3
All (462)39%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(173)9.935%4.7
2nd(120)7.044%4.5
3rd(65)5.343%6.1
4th(5)2.460%1.8
All (363)40%4.9

Louisiana Tech, all games.